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Qual 142018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red270
5907169.8
6618172.7
4779159.5
Blue403
5530165.1
7178136.8
2959176.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391349100200300500600700800270403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#6
172.70.1
166.8→166.9
Auto17.7
Teleop130.8
End24.3
blue by 4.1
2959
#19
176.80.3
185.1→184.8
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
Second
5907
#16
169.80.3
173.7→173.4
Auto21.0
Teleop126.5
End22.6
red by 4.7
5530
#33
165.10.2
164.5→164.7
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
Third
4779
#31
159.51.4
164.6→165.9
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
red by 22.7
7178
#27
136.80.8
134.9→135.7
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed