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Red358
3618163.1
5467157.0
201149.3
Blue222
1189180.9
314151.7
3767162.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2704000100200500600700800358222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.11.4
145.4146.9
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
blue by 17.8
1189
#23
180.90.4
191.6191.2
Auto22.7
Teleop135.8
End21.2
Second
5467
#25
157.01.2
145.9147.1
Auto16.0
Teleop118.4
End24.4
blue by 5.7
3767
#13
162.71.0
160.0161.0
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End14.3
Third
201
#35
149.30.1
154.4154.4
Auto18.3
Teleop116.8
End14.0
blue by 2.4
314
#26
151.70.3
153.1152.8
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed