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Red450
4779159.5
862193.8
3767162.7
Blue259
3546173.3
5114171.6
3641189.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36037501,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500450259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
193.80.2
193.1192.9
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
red by 3.8
189.90.7
190.1190.7
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
Second
3767
#13
162.70.1
161.0160.9
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End14.3
blue by 10.6
3546
#17
173.30.2
178.9179.1
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6
Third
4779
#31
159.50.2
166.3166.0
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
blue by 12.1
5114
#29
171.60.5
178.5179.0
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End25.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned