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Red426
7256121.0
201149.3
4237165.6
Blue103
7178136.8
7144130.2
4377143.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752780100200500600700426103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.61.2
157.4158.6
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
red by 22.5
4377
#24
143.10.3
145.6145.9
Auto16.2
Teleop99.2
End25.4
Second
201
#35
149.30.1
155.0154.9
Auto18.3
Teleop116.8
End14.0
red by 12.5
7178
#27
136.81.7
136.8138.5
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
Third
7256
#38
121.00.6
123.6124.2
Auto14.9
Teleop89.6
End17.1
blue by 9.2
7144
#14
130.20.1
132.8132.9
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed