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Red246
2604104.4
226183.6
2145153.0
Blue384
217230.1
5530165.1
5603174.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265460100200300400500600700800246384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#22
183.60.3
184.9185.2
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
blue by 46.5
217
#5
230.10.3
226.0226.3
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
Second
2145
#30
153.01.1
151.3152.4
Auto15.5
Teleop118.0
End21.2
blue by 21.4
5603
#15
174.40.9
169.8170.7
Auto21.0
Teleop126.8
End27.7
Third
2604
#40
104.40.7
108.0107.3
Auto17.7
Teleop75.4
End11.3
blue by 60.7
5530
#33
165.10.7
166.1166.8
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed