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Red262
201149.3
4983154.3
5234174.4
Blue362
5467157.0
3546173.3
5530165.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376338200300500600262362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#21
174.40.4
182.9182.5
Auto25.8
Teleop124.0
End20.1
red by 1.1
3546
#17
173.31.3
178.7177.4
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6
Second
4983
#28
154.31.1
153.4154.5
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
blue by 10.8
5530
#33
165.10.3
166.8167.1
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
Third
201
#35
149.30.5
154.9155.3
Auto18.3
Teleop116.8
End14.0
blue by 7.7
5467
#25
157.01.7
149.5151.1
Auto16.0
Teleop118.4
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed