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Red465
6618172.7
910158.3
3641189.9
Blue273
1189180.9
3536176.8
226183.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33539902006008001,000465273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.90.0
190.7190.7
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
red by 6.3
226
#22
183.60.3
185.2185.5
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
Second
172.70.5
166.2166.7
Auto17.7
Teleop130.8
End24.3
blue by 8.2
1189
#23
180.91.7
188.9187.2
Auto22.7
Teleop135.8
End21.2
Third
910
#34
158.31.6
160.2158.7
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
blue by 18.5
176.80.2
181.9182.1
Auto20.5
Teleop127.4
End30.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned