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Red310
2145153.0
7178136.8
3618163.1
Blue312
4377143.1
5114171.6
5560140.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364316200250400450500550600310312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.12.3
150.6152.9
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
blue by 8.5
5114
#29
171.60.2
178.8178.6
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End25.7
Second
2145
#30
153.01.0
152.4153.4
Auto15.5
Teleop118.0
End21.2
red by 10.0
4377
#24
143.10.9
145.9145.0
Auto16.2
Teleop99.2
End25.4
Third
7178
#27
136.80.2
138.5138.6
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
blue by 3.4
5560
#18
140.20.3
137.8138.2
Auto17.7
Teleop104.4
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsMissed