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Qual 372018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red290
7144130.2
4983154.3
2767238.1
Blue435
3767162.7
7211155.5
217230.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3584000200600800290435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#1
238.10.7
232.3→232.9
Auto26.4
Teleop165.0
End46.9
red by 8.0
217
#5
230.10.1
226.3→226.3
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
Second
4983
#28
154.30.0
154.5→154.5
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
blue by 8.4
3767
#13
162.70.1
161.2→161.3
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End14.3
Third
7144
#14
130.21.1
132.9→131.8
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
blue by 25.3
7211
#36
155.50.3
158.0→158.3
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
66%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed