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Red270
2619126.6
1025179.6
226183.6
Blue385
3767162.7
4237165.6
573158.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30439502006008001,000270385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#22
183.60.3
185.5185.2
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
red by 18.1
165.61.4
160.1161.5
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
Second
179.60.0
174.2174.3
Auto23.6
Teleop129.4
End25.9
red by 16.9
3767
#13
162.70.4
161.3161.7
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End14.3
Third
2619
#37
126.60.2
126.1126.3
Auto19.6
Teleop95.1
End13.5
blue by 31.8
573
#32
158.40.7
170.9170.2
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed