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Red417
4377143.1
217230.1
6637137.7
Blue273
1189180.9
2959176.8
7211155.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3903530100200300500600417273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
230.10.2
226.3226.5
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
red by 49.2
1189
#23
180.91.9
187.2185.2
Auto22.7
Teleop135.8
End21.2
Second
4377
#24
143.11.0
145.0144.0
Auto16.2
Teleop99.2
End25.4
blue by 33.7
2959
#19
176.80.9
184.2183.3
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
Third
6637
#39
137.71.1
141.1140.0
Auto17.9
Teleop107.9
End13.2
blue by 17.9
7211
#36
155.50.5
158.3158.8
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed