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Red370
1684172.1
7144130.2
3546173.3
Blue331
7178136.8
2604104.4
862193.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3573300200400600800370331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#17
173.30.9
177.4176.5
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6
blue by 20.5
862
#12
193.80.2
193.4193.6
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
Second
1684
#20
172.10.4
169.3169.7
Auto25.5
Teleop127.9
End19.8
red by 35.3
7178
#27
136.80.3
138.6138.9
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
Third
7144
#14
130.21.1
131.8130.8
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
red by 25.8
2604
#40
104.40.1
106.8106.9
Auto17.7
Teleop75.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed