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Red290
4855174.4
5467157.0
2604104.4
Blue379
226183.6
2959176.8
4779159.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2894400100200400500600700800290379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#10
174.40.9
168.1169.0
Auto18.4
Teleop130.6
End26.8
blue by 9.3
226
#22
183.60.5
185.2184.7
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
Second
5467
#25
157.00.5
153.4153.9
Auto16.0
Teleop118.4
End24.4
blue by 19.8
2959
#19
176.81.4
183.3181.9
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
Third
2604
#40
104.40.1
106.9106.8
Auto17.7
Teleop75.4
End11.3
blue by 55.1
4779
#31
159.50.6
165.9165.3
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed