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Red351
4983154.3
862193.8
3641189.9
Blue420
2767238.1
217230.1
5907169.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3134520100200400500600700800351420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
193.80.0
193.6193.7
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
blue by 44.3
238.10.2
233.2233.4
Auto26.4
Teleop165.0
End46.9
Second
189.90.2
191.5191.7
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
blue by 40.2
217
#5
230.10.7
226.5227.2
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
Third
4983
#28
154.30.0
154.2154.2
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
blue by 15.5
5907
#16
169.80.2
171.5171.3
Auto21.0
Teleop126.5
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed85%Face the Boss oddsEarned