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Red299
2959176.8
3767162.7
5560140.2
Blue397
862193.8
910158.3
5530165.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303378100200500600299397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#19
176.81.6
181.9180.2
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
blue by 17.0
862
#12
193.80.2
193.7193.8
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
Second
3767
#13
162.70.4
162.1161.8
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End14.3
blue by 2.4
5530
#33
165.10.8
166.7166.0
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
Third
5560
#18
140.20.7
138.7139.4
Auto17.7
Teleop104.4
End18.8
blue by 18.1
910
#34
158.30.0
158.4158.4
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed