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Red413
2619126.6
217230.1
7144130.2
Blue238
4779159.5
5234174.4
3536176.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305401100200500600700413238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
230.10.5
227.2227.7
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
red by 53.3
176.80.8
180.2179.4
Auto20.5
Teleop127.4
End30.9
Second
7144
#14
130.21.1
130.2129.1
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
blue by 44.2
5234
#21
174.41.0
180.3179.3
Auto25.8
Teleop124.0
End20.1
Third
2619
#37
126.60.4
126.2125.8
Auto19.6
Teleop95.1
End13.5
blue by 32.9
4779
#31
159.50.9
165.3164.4
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsEarned