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Red277
5114171.6
7144130.2
314151.7
Blue375
2959176.8
5675177.9
3641189.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2664410100200300400500600700277375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#29
171.62.3
176.9174.6
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End25.7
blue by 18.3
189.90.1
192.1191.9
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
Second
314
#26
151.70.3
151.7152.1
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1
blue by 26.2
177.91.0
175.8176.7
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End24.2
Third
7144
#14
130.20.2
129.1128.9
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
blue by 46.6
2959
#19
176.81.1
180.2179.2
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned22%Face the Boss oddsEarned