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Red299
1684172.1
226183.6
5530165.1
Blue360
7178136.8
4983154.3
217230.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373870100200500600700800299360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#22
183.60.1
183.9183.7
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
blue by 46.5
217
#5
230.10.7
228.8229.5
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
Second
1684
#20
172.10.2
171.9172.1
Auto25.5
Teleop127.9
End19.8
red by 17.8
4983
#28
154.30.2
154.4154.1
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
Third
5530
#33
165.10.4
166.0165.6
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
red by 28.3
7178
#27
136.80.7
138.0137.3
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed