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Red434
201149.3
4377143.1
2767238.1
Blue221
910158.3
5603174.4
2619126.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4193000100200500600700434221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238.11.0
234.1235.2
Auto26.4
Teleop165.0
End46.9
red by 63.8
5603
#15
174.40.2
174.3174.4
Auto21.0
Teleop126.8
End27.7
Second
201
#35
149.31.4
151.6150.1
Auto18.3
Teleop116.8
End14.0
blue by 9.0
910
#34
158.30.7
158.6159.4
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
Third
4377
#24
143.10.1
142.9142.8
Auto16.2
Teleop99.2
End25.4
red by 16.5
2619
#37
126.60.4
126.2126.7
Auto19.6
Teleop95.1
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
87%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed