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Red180
5467157.0
4779159.5
7211155.5
Blue436
7144130.2
2145153.0
5907169.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357345200250300400450180436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#31
159.51.3
162.9161.6
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
blue by 10.3
5907
#16
169.80.9
169.5168.7
Auto21.0
Teleop126.5
End22.6
Second
5467
#25
157.00.9
156.0156.8
Auto16.0
Teleop118.4
End24.4
red by 3.9
2145
#30
153.00.1
152.3152.2
Auto15.5
Teleop118.0
End21.2
Third
7211
#36
155.50.2
157.3157.5
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End20.9
red by 25.3
7144
#14
130.20.2
128.9129.1
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned