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Red396
3546173.3
5560140.2
1025179.6
Blue353
4855174.4
6637137.7
201149.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363310100200400500600396353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.61.0
177.0178.0
Auto23.6
Teleop129.4
End25.9
red by 5.3
4855
#10
174.41.1
170.3171.4
Auto18.4
Teleop130.6
End26.8
Second
3546
#17
173.30.5
174.2173.7
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6
red by 24.0
201
#35
149.30.8
150.1149.3
Auto18.3
Teleop116.8
End14.0
Third
5560
#18
140.20.4
140.6140.2
Auto17.7
Teleop104.4
End18.8
red by 2.6
6637
#39
137.70.8
138.5137.7
Auto17.9
Teleop107.9
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed