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Red434
3641189.9
5603174.4
7178136.8
Blue295
226183.6
3618163.1
5234174.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352372200250300400450500550600434295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.90.8
191.8191.0
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
red by 6.3
226
#22
183.60.3
183.4183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
Second
5603
#15
174.40.3
174.4174.1
Auto21.0
Teleop126.8
End27.7
Level
5234
#21
174.41.3
176.9175.5
Auto25.8
Teleop124.0
End20.1
Third
7178
#27
136.80.1
136.7136.8
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End16.6
blue by 26.2
163.11.3
161.0162.4
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed