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Red457
6077166.1
862193.8
4377143.1
Blue298
2604104.4
5907169.8
4983154.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202720100200500600457298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
193.80.2
194.1193.9
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
red by 24.0
5907
#16
169.80.3
168.7168.9
Auto21.0
Teleop126.5
End22.6
Second
6077
#11
166.10.8
165.0165.7
Auto18.9
Teleop124.8
End21.0
red by 11.8
4983
#28
154.30.4
154.0154.3
Auto18.3
Teleop117.4
End19.4
Third
4377
#24
143.10.2
142.8143.1
Auto16.2
Teleop99.2
End25.4
red by 38.6
2604
#40
104.40.5
104.9104.4
Auto17.7
Teleop75.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed