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Red260
1189180.9
910158.3
573158.4
Blue389
4779159.5
7144130.2
4855174.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763220100200500600700800260389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#23
180.90.1
181.0180.9
Auto22.7
Teleop135.8
End21.2
red by 6.6
4855
#10
174.41.4
171.4172.8
Auto18.4
Teleop130.6
End26.8
Second
573
#32
158.41.6
165.7164.0
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
blue by 1.1
4779
#31
159.52.1
161.6159.5
Auto20.6
Teleop117.2
End20.5
Third
910
#34
158.30.1
159.4159.5
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
red by 28.1
7144
#14
130.21.1
129.1130.2
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed