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Qual 792018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red387
6618172.7
2145153.0
217230.1
Blue226
3546173.3
7211155.5
314151.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4482940100200400500600700800387226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
230.10.5
229.5→230.0
Auto23.4
Teleop178.6
End26.3
red by 56.8
3546
#17
173.30.1
173.7→173.8
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6
Second
6618
#6
172.70.8
171.1→171.9
Auto17.7
Teleop130.8
End24.3
red by 17.2
7211
#36
155.50.8
157.5→156.7
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End20.9
Third
2145
#30
153.00.8
152.2→153.0
Auto15.5
Teleop118.0
End21.2
red by 1.3
314
#26
151.70.1
152.7→152.6
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed