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Red301
5530165.1
5114171.6
5675177.9
Blue401
2619126.6
4237165.6
5467157.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072770100200500600700800301401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.90.4
177.5177.9
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End24.2
red by 12.3
165.60.3
164.5164.8
Auto21.3
Teleop130.9
End13.0
Second
5114
#29
171.60.8
173.2172.3
Auto19.4
Teleop125.2
End25.7
red by 14.7
5467
#25
157.00.3
156.8156.5
Auto16.0
Teleop118.4
End24.4
Third
5530
#33
165.10.1
165.0165.1
Auto19.7
Teleop129.5
End16.5
red by 38.5
2619
#37
126.60.1
126.7126.6
Auto19.6
Teleop95.1
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed