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Red226
7154104.7
6637143.0
6088116.1
Blue283
5230129.8
6112151.3
5547126.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663250100200400500600226283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.00.1
143.1142.9
Auto18.9
Teleop111.8
End12.8
blue by 8.3
151.30.5
150.0150.5
Auto23.7
Teleop113.0
End14.0
Second
6088
#26
116.10.2
114.8115.0
Auto15.8
Teleop86.6
End16.0
blue by 13.6
129.80.7
127.8128.6
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Third
7154
#29
104.70.4
102.7103.0
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
blue by 21.3
5547
#24
126.00.3
125.3125.6
Auto18.5
Teleop89.8
End20.4