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Red388
1322140.9
4970160.3
7234114.4
Blue283
857132.4
5505156.6
5213111.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320312200250300350400450388283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.30.5
158.0158.6
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
red by 3.7
156.60.8
155.1155.9
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
Second
1322
#13
140.90.4
139.2139.6
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
red by 8.5
857
#6
132.40.5
131.5131.9
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
Third
7234
#17
114.40.5
112.2112.7
Auto15.9
Teleop80.5
End19.8
red by 3.2
5213
#39
111.20.2
110.9111.2
Auto11.9
Teleop85.7
End16.0