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Red395
1322140.9
4970160.3
7234114.4
Blue255
2586140.7
4375133.9
6113125.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335304100200400500600395255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.30.5
157.1157.5
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
red by 19.6
2586
#25
140.70.2
140.4140.6
Auto13.9
Teleop105.3
End22.5
Second
1322
#13
140.90.3
138.5138.8
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
red by 7.0
4375
#10
133.90.3
133.4133.7
Auto16.7
Teleop96.2
End23.1
Third
7234
#17
114.40.5
111.3111.7
Auto15.9
Teleop80.5
End19.8
blue by 11.5
6113
#23
125.90.5
125.0125.4
Auto16.6
Teleop98.0
End13.2