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Red376
7154104.7
6637143.0
6088116.1
Blue250
5230129.8
6112151.3
5547126.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2753170100200400500600700376250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.00.0
142.8142.8
Auto18.9
Teleop111.8
End12.8
blue by 8.3
151.30.3
151.0151.3
Auto23.7
Teleop113.0
End14.0
Second
6088
#26
116.10.3
115.2115.5
Auto15.8
Teleop86.6
End16.0
blue by 13.6
129.80.5
129.2129.8
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Third
7154
#29
104.70.4
103.4103.8
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
blue by 21.3
5547
#24
126.00.2
125.8126.0
Auto18.5
Teleop89.8
End20.4