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Red313
1322140.9
4970160.3
7234114.4
Blue220
857132.4
5505156.6
4835123.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123310100200400500600700800313220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.30.6
158.6159.2
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
red by 3.7
156.60.8
155.9156.6
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
Second
1322
#13
140.90.4
139.6140.0
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
red by 8.5
857
#6
132.40.5
131.9132.4
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
Third
7234
#17
114.40.6
112.7113.3
Auto15.9
Teleop80.5
End19.8
blue by 8.9
4835
#12
123.30.4
122.9123.3
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3