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Red321
5547126.0
7154104.7
1322140.9
Blue101
6345103.2
4835123.3
894141.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2642880100200400500600700321101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#13
140.91.2
134.6133.5
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
blue by 0.9
894
#11
141.81.2
137.2138.3
Auto16.6
Teleop111.2
End12.6
Second
5547
#24
126.09.2
102.9112.1
Auto18.5
Teleop89.8
End20.4
red by 2.7
4835
#12
123.39.9
85.395.2
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
Third
7154
#29
104.710.6
77.788.3
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
red by 1.5
6345
#30
103.213.5
81.494.8
Auto15.7
Teleop75.6
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed