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Red126
6569111.7
5213111.2
904130.4
Blue274
6113125.9
5072137.8
6637143.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290283100150200250350400450500126274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#19
130.48.2
107.7115.8
Auto18.5
Teleop95.9
End16.2
blue by 12.6
143.09.1
105.0114.0
Auto18.9
Teleop111.8
End12.8
Second
6569
#34
111.710.9
100.1111.0
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
blue by 26.1
5072
#18
137.88.1
105.6113.7
Auto16.0
Teleop106.9
End16.0
Third
5213
#39
111.28.9
95.2104.0
Auto11.9
Teleop85.7
End16.0
blue by 14.7
6113
#23
125.98.9
96.3105.2
Auto16.6
Teleop98.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed