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Qual 142018 FIM District Escanaba Event
Red328
3602120.9
5230129.8
4970160.3
Blue142
4715113.2
6557118.6
570696.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306226100200400500328142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#3
160.38.0
117.3→125.2
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
red by 41.7
6557
#20
118.68.3
99.1→107.5
Auto14.0
Teleop93.0
End13.1
Second
5230
#9
129.81.7
112.3→114.1
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
red by 16.5
4715
#15
113.24.0
98.7→102.7
Auto13.9
Teleop89.2
End9.0
Third
3602
#28
120.93.8
112.5→116.3
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End8.1
red by 24.2
5706
#37
96.64.7
93.7→98.4
Auto12.0
Teleop79.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed