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Red168
894141.8
7020101.2
6581112.2
Blue146
6088116.1
7154104.7
715688.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2482410100200300400500600700800168146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#11
141.80.3
138.3138.6
Auto16.6
Teleop111.2
End12.6
red by 25.6
6088
#26
116.13.2
99.1102.3
Auto15.8
Teleop86.6
End16.0
Second
6581
#27
112.25.7
87.993.6
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End15.0
red by 7.5
7154
#29
104.79.1
88.397.4
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
Third
7020
#33
101.22.7
85.588.2
Auto12.4
Teleop79.5
End9.1
red by 13.2
7156
#36
88.04.3
87.591.8
Auto11.8
Teleop74.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed