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Red416
4970160.3
245197.6
857132.4
Blue189
4375133.9
6112151.3
3602120.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752570100200300500600416189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
197.62.0
166.9169.0
Auto17.7
Teleop143.9
End37.0
red by 46.2
151.32.0
134.2136.2
Auto23.7
Teleop113.0
End14.0
Second
160.314.1
91.7105.8
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
red by 26.4
4375
#10
133.915.6
77.993.5
Auto16.7
Teleop96.2
End23.1
Third
857
#6
132.413.8
94.5108.3
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
red by 11.6
3602
#28
120.914.4
89.4103.8
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed