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Red202
6558121.0
5072137.8
6581112.2
Blue337
6569111.7
4391175.7
894141.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643310100200300400500202337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#18
137.814.2
91.5105.6
Auto16.0
Teleop106.9
End16.0
blue by 37.8
175.712.5
106.8119.3
Auto26.1
Teleop127.8
End21.5
Second
6558
#31
121.014.2
91.0105.2
Auto15.3
Teleop90.8
End16.5
blue by 20.7
894
#11
141.81.0
136.2137.2
Auto16.6
Teleop111.2
End12.6
Third
6581
#27DQ
112.217.7
59.777.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End15.0
red by 0.5
6569
#34
111.714.8
85.2100.1
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed