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Red279
4956135.9
6558121.0
7154104.7
Blue169
5213111.2
570696.6
5230129.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277230100150200250300350400279169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.91.5
115.1116.6
Auto19.7
Teleop104.5
End15.1
red by 6.1
129.82.7
114.1116.7
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Second
6558
#31
121.01.8
113.4115.2
Auto15.3
Teleop90.8
End16.5
red by 9.9
5213
#39
111.23.8
104.0107.9
Auto11.9
Teleop85.7
End16.0
Third
7154
#29
104.74.8
97.4102.2
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
red by 8.1
5706
#37
96.61.5
98.499.9
Auto12.0
Teleop79.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed