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Red206
4835123.3
715688.0
5072137.8
Blue365
4970160.3
6088116.1
4375133.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2282970100200400500206365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5072
#18
137.86.1
119.6125.7
Auto16.0
Teleop106.9
End16.0
blue by 22.5
160.36.9
125.2132.1
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
Second
4835
#12
123.31.4
100.5101.8
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
blue by 10.6
4375
#10
133.95.4
107.8113.2
Auto16.7
Teleop96.2
End23.1
Third
7156
#36
88.01.6
91.893.4
Auto11.8
Teleop74.5
End2.3
blue by 28.1
6088
#26
116.10.8
102.3103.1
Auto15.8
Teleop86.6
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed