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Red76
6557118.6
715688.0
6569111.7
Blue199
5989115.7
5486115.1
7250120.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23624210015020030035040076199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6557
#20
118.61.7
114.9116.6
Auto14.0
Teleop93.0
End13.1
blue by 2.0
7250
#14
120.62.5
108.5111.1
Auto16.9
Teleop90.3
End14.0
Second
6569
#34
111.71.5
119.7118.1
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
blue by 4.0
5989
#32
115.71.4
108.9110.3
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
Third
7156
#36
88.03.0
92.889.8
Auto11.8
Teleop74.5
End2.3
blue by 27.1
5486
#21
115.11.7
110.0108.3
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed