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Red308
857132.4
6112151.3
5702121.6
Blue101
5230129.8
6581112.2
6088116.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318238100200400500308101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.30.9
141.0141.9
Auto23.7
Teleop113.0
End14.0
red by 21.6
129.83.0
117.9120.9
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Second
857
#6
132.42.0
127.1129.1
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
red by 16.3
6088
#26
116.12.5
105.3107.9
Auto15.8
Teleop86.6
End16.0
Third
5702
#16
121.62.2
112.9115.1
Auto15.5
Teleop99.2
End6.2
red by 9.4
6581
#27
112.23.3
98.0101.3
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed