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Red283
6112151.3
1322140.9
7250120.6
Blue287
4391175.7
904130.4
6557118.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258334100200300400500600283287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.30.8
141.9142.7
Auto23.7
Teleop113.0
End14.0
blue by 24.4
175.74.6
156.8161.4
Auto26.1
Teleop127.8
End21.5
Second
1322
#13
140.90.9
135.7136.6
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
red by 10.5
904
#19
130.41.9
124.5126.4
Auto18.5
Teleop95.9
End16.2
Third
7250
#14
120.62.7
111.1113.8
Auto16.9
Teleop90.3
End14.0
red by 2.0
6557
#20
118.60.1
116.6116.7
Auto14.0
Teleop93.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed