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Red281
5486115.1
361793.4
245197.6
Blue250
4835123.3
5702121.6
4956135.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932420100200400500281250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
197.61.8
180.3182.1
Auto17.7
Teleop143.9
End37.0
red by 61.7
135.92.1
121.3123.4
Auto19.7
Teleop104.5
End15.1
Second
5486
#21
115.10.2
108.3108.1
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
blue by 8.2
4835
#12
123.33.6
103.1106.6
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
Third
3617
#35
93.41.9
92.694.5
Auto11.0
Teleop78.3
End2.4
blue by 28.2
5702
#16
121.61.9
115.1117.0
Auto15.5
Teleop99.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed