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Red258
7020101.2
4970160.3
6569111.7
Blue212
894141.8
7234114.4
5213111.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284266150200250300350400450258212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.33.0
142.4145.4
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
red by 18.5
894
#11
141.80.5
138.8139.3
Auto16.6
Teleop111.2
End12.6
Second
6569
#34
111.72.0
118.1116.1
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
blue by 2.7
7234
#17
114.41.0
101.0102.0
Auto15.9
Teleop80.5
End19.8
Third
7020
#33
101.21.9
94.896.7
Auto12.4
Teleop79.5
End9.1
blue by 9.9
5213
#39
111.21.1
107.1108.2
Auto11.9
Teleop85.7
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed