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Red157
6088116.1
6079106.7
5989115.7
Blue304
6345103.2
4956135.9
5486115.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572710100200300400500157304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6088
#26
116.116.2
72.889.0
Auto15.8
Teleop86.6
End16.0
blue by 19.7
135.90.1
114.6114.4
Auto19.7
Teleop104.5
End15.1
Second
5989
#32
115.717.0
65.482.4
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
red by 0.6
5486
#21
115.116.3
72.088.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
Third
6079
#22
106.718.3
54.372.6
Auto16.5
Teleop80.8
End9.0
red by 3.5
6345
#30
103.217.2
64.281.4
Auto15.7
Teleop75.6
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed