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Red249
6557118.6
6637143.0
5547126.0
Blue108
1322140.9
5230129.8
7020101.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032870100200400500600249108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.014.2
90.7105.0
Auto18.9
Teleop111.8
End12.8
red by 2.1
1322
#13
140.90.4
134.3134.6
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
Second
5547
#24
126.014.5
88.4102.9
Auto18.5
Teleop89.8
End20.4
blue by 3.8
129.814.0
93.2107.2
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Third
6557
#20
118.616.2
72.588.7
Auto14.0
Teleop93.0
End13.1
red by 17.4
7020
#33
101.223.6
101.477.7
Auto12.4
Teleop79.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed