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Red198
5702121.6
4715113.2
6637143.0
Blue255
6079106.7
4835123.3
4970160.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275272200250300350400198255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.01.9
140.1142.1
Auto18.9
Teleop111.8
End12.8
blue by 17.3
160.32.7
152.1154.9
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
Second
5702
#16
121.60.4
121.2121.6
Auto15.5
Teleop99.2
End6.2
blue by 1.7
4835
#12
123.32.3
118.7121.0
Auto16.5
Teleop88.7
End20.3
Third
4715
#15
113.20.3
114.0113.8
Auto13.9
Teleop89.2
End9.0
red by 6.5
6079
#22
106.71.2
108.5107.3
Auto16.5
Teleop80.8
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed