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Red110
1322140.9
6345103.2
6569111.7
Blue359
857132.4
4375133.9
6558121.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543190100200400500600110359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#13
140.90.7
138.2138.9
Auto16.1
Teleop101.1
End23.2
red by 7.0
4375
#10
133.90.7
131.1131.8
Auto16.7
Teleop96.2
End23.1
Second
6569
#34
111.70.5
112.1112.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End8.3
blue by 20.7
857
#6
132.40.9
131.1130.2
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
Third
6345
#30
103.20.0
104.3104.4
Auto15.7
Teleop75.6
End11.2
blue by 17.8
6558
#31
121.01.0
121.6120.6
Auto15.3
Teleop90.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned