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Red174
2586140.7
7020101.2
5989115.7
Blue346
5230129.8
7154104.7
6113125.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512780100200400500600700174346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#25
140.71.3
138.7140.0
Auto13.9
Teleop105.3
End22.5
red by 11.0
129.81.3
124.6125.8
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Second
5989
#32
115.70.5
115.4115.9
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
blue by 10.1
6113
#23
125.91.7
120.9122.6
Auto16.6
Teleop98.0
End13.2
Third
7020
#33
101.20.9
100.2101.1
Auto12.4
Teleop79.5
End9.1
blue by 3.5
7154
#29
104.71.4
103.9102.6
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed