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Red256
5072137.8
4970160.3
5213111.2
Blue353
857132.4
5989115.7
5230129.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322272100150200250300350400450500256353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.32.2
154.9157.1
Auto22.5
Teleop119.8
End17.6
red by 27.9
857
#6
132.40.4
130.2130.7
Auto16.4
Teleop94.2
End24.7
Second
5072
#18
137.80.9
137.0137.8
Auto16.0
Teleop106.9
End16.0
red by 8.1
129.82.0
125.8127.8
Auto17.7
Teleop96.0
End18.9
Third
5213
#39
111.20.7
109.9110.6
Auto11.9
Teleop85.7
End16.0
blue by 4.6
5989
#32
115.70.2
115.9115.7
Auto15.1
Teleop89.0
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed